Dry Vans

New Trailer Orders Below July Forecasts

Posted on August 23, 2016 · Posted in Trailer Purcahsing

FTR reports that final July trailer orders were below expectations at 9,500 units, which is 20% below June and -55% year-over-year. Dry van orders were particularly weak, with other trailer segments experiencing noticeable order declines as well. Orders have totaled 260,000 units over the past twelve months. Backlogs fell another 9% and are now 21% below a year ago. Trailer build was also down for the month, -7% (per day) from June.

“July is typically the weakest order month of the year, still the orders were lower than expected. Freight has been slow to recover from the manufacturing dip and fleets do not need as many trailers as they once forecast. Many second-half orders are being cancelled or moved to 2017. This is similar to what happened previously in the Class 8 market.

“Van backlogs remain viable and there are no significant economic factors driving down the market.  The trailer market is highly cyclical and July appears to be the beginning of the decline.  Production usually drops somewhat in July due to increased vacation days, so it will be interesting how much the August build numbers recover, if any.”   said Don Ake, FTR’s vice president of commercial vehicles.

July Trailer Order Graph

July Trailer Order Graph

For more than two decades, FTR has been the thought leader in freight transportation forecasting in North America. The company’s national award-winning forecasters collect and analyze all data likely to impact freight movement, issuing consistently reliable reports for trucking, rail, and intermodal transportation, as well as providing demand analysis for commercial vehicle and railcar. FTR’s forecasting and specially designed reports have resulted in advanced planning and cost-savings for companies throughout the transportation sector.